Handysize/Supramax market cooling off in Black Sea
15.12.2023 14:31
The market activity certainly looks slower in the Black and Mediterranean Seas this week. However, still rather tight tonnage supply in the area prevents a significant rate decline. Thus:
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Owners of 33-34k dwt vessels are still able to get $13.5-14k daily for inter-Med trips bss dely passing Canakkale via CVB;
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The deal for a small Handy carrier of 22-23k dwt bss dely Aegean via Marmara or CVB redel Med is discussed at $12k daily;
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Charterers are ready to pay at best $14k daily for a large Handysize ship bss dely EMed redel ECSA;
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Earlier in the week, a 40k dwt vessel was chartered at quite strong $16.5k daily bss dely EMed redel USG;
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As for larger tonnage, a couple of front-haul deals for Supramax and Panamax carriers are negotiated at $26-27k daily (Ukraine and Russia excl.);
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The contract for a usual clinker run by an Ultramax ship bss DOP dely EMed via Turkey redel Abidjan has been signed at $24k daily.
As for so called premium trips:
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The deal for a Panamax vessel bss DOP dely WCI via Ukraine redel Spore-Japan is discussed at $21-22k daily, while Kamsarmax owners are seeking to get $24k daily bss dely PG for the same;
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Owners of a $78-79k dwt carrier want to get $18k daily for a front-haul run bss dely passing Singapore via Ukraine;
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Brokers suggest $32-34k daily for a Supramax ship bss dely passing Canakkale via Ukraine redel SE Asia;
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The deal for a Handysize vessel bss dely passing Canakkale via Novorossiysk redel Med is negotiated at $17-18k daily.
There are not many fresh voyage-basis offers from Ukraine:
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Up to 30,000 t of corn are carried from POC to SpanMed at $37/t with 8,000 sshex bends l/d rates, which gives the TCE of $23k daily bss dely psg Canakkale in case of $200k of EWRI + crew bonus or $21k daily in case of $250k of EWRI + crew bonus;
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The deal for transportation of 25-30,000 t of corn with 7,000x/5,000x l/d rates is discussed at mid-$30s/t, which is equivalent to $19-22k daily bss dely psg Canakkale in case of $170-200k of EWRI + crew bonus;
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50,000 t of rapeseed meal is carried from POC to ARAG ports at $46/t;
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Ship owners are seeking to get at least $65-66/t for shipment of 65-68,000 t of corn from PC to S.China in 1H January, which exceeds $38k daily bss dely Port Said in case of $600k of EWRI + crew bonus.
As for other cargoes and origins, relevant spot offer looks modest as well:
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Charterers are ready to pay high $20s/t for transportation of 25,000 t of wheat from CVB to Tunisia with 7,000x/2,250x l/d rates, which is equivalent to $14-15k daily bss dely psg Canakkale;
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Traders target $20.5-21/t for forward shipment of 30,000 t of wheat from CVB to Algeria with 9,000x/2,500x l/d rates and February-March laycans, while owners are seeking to get $24-25/t so far (equivalent to $9.5-10k daily vs. $12.5-14k daily bss dely psg Canakkale);
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The deal for transportation of 25,000 t of wheat from Novorossiysk to Tunisia with 10,000x/2,250x l/d rates and 20-30 December laycans has been signed at $31/t, which means $14-14.5k daily bss dely psg Cnakkale in case of $60-70k of EWRI on owner’s acct;
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As for non-grain cargoes, charterers are ready to pay low-mid $20s/t for shipment of 20,000 t of urea from Tuapse to Constanta with 7,000x/3,500x l/d rates, which is equivalent to $12.5-13.5k daily bss dely psg Canakkale;
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Brokers suggest low $30s/t for transportation of 30,000 t of steels from Novorossiysk to Algeria and $11.5-12.5/t for shipment of 30-40,000 t of clay from Marmara to Ravenna;
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Carrying 25,000 t of bagged cement from Turkey to USEC is estimated by ISM at low $40s/t bss 1/1 given 5,000 sshex bends l/d rates.